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liryon
71
May 23, 2017
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The expected value for this drop is $14.94.
I computed this using the expected value of individual packs from http://mtg.dawnglare.com/?p=sets&pack=1 at the time of this posting. I computed the value of the Shards of Alara Block Premium Foil Booster by taking the average of the Alara Block sets using TCG Foil pricing from the same site. You may view my work in the attached sheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xRW4CqL68Is4XYLq17BxcP8Na4_oedH6qDjqjmEJr8k/edit?usp=sharing
They have enough packs to support 780 grab bags, but the drop is limited to 340 which seems odd.
May 23, 2017
liryon
71
Jul 17, 2017
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liryonLooks like this drop is live again in July 2017. The description of the drop has not changed, not even to add sets printed since the last drop. Since the sets have not changed, and prices move slowly the EV is still about $14-$15. It is very odd that they would have the exact same numbers of packs from the exact same sets available again a few months after the initial drop.
Jul 17, 2017
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