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The price on this drop should be much lower. Using dawnglare and tcg mid price per pack estimates. Good luck everyone!
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scedave
130
Mar 27, 2018
jeb_of_the_valleyNo offense but you could not buy any fat pack on your list for anywhere near the estimated value on that chart.. How about using the TCG selling price for each Fat Pack to give a more realistic value of what they are worth on the open market.. That would be comparing apples to apples..
scedaveComparing to market is certainly another way of looking at it. The value of a fat pack is also more than just the value of the packs.
Biggdog
54
Mar 27, 2018
jeb_of_the_valleyHere's a spreadsheet based on TCG Player Market prices for fat packs. While I'm not a fan of grab bag/blind buys, as they are basically a gamble on top of another gamble, the drop however is so-so. The total value based on market price is just north of $4k, so the average "value" is just above the price of the drop. Provided this sells out, there is a; 30% chance of getting one w/ a market price above the buy-in price. 21% chance of one above average market value . 8% chance of one above average market price.
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Jeb's sheet using Dawnglare's Expected Value calcs does underline what a poor value proposition fat packs and booster cracking in general is though and how prices on old magic stock are over inflated.
Jaspre
26
May 7, 2018
BiggdogYep, and fat packs are definitely one of the worst ways to crack packs value wise.
Gamble if you like, but buy singles if you want your dollar to consistently buy a dollars worth of goods. I know I'd rather have a $43 card than a pile of commons and a m12 sun titan.